Friday, January 04, 2008

The real winner in Iowa...

The Democrats.

Percentage of total vote
24.5% Obama
20.5% Edwards
19.8% Clinton
11.4% Huckabee (R)


  1. You believe that adding up the total number of participants in both Iowa caucuses makes your point? I mean - sure - it makes *a* point, but I don't see any statistical significance to it...

  2. I want to see a Democrat in the White House too, but don't forget the difference between the Iowa Democrat and Republican caucuses. Republicans vote once and then count the votes. Democrats vote twice, eliminating candidates that don't get 15% of the votes the first time around. Obama-Edwards-Clinton's votes are inflated because in most caucuses Richardson, Biden, Dodd and Kucinich voters changed their vote for a front runner. If Thompson, Mccain, Guiliani, and Paul voters had a chance to change their votes, Huckabee and Romney's total tally would be inflated.

  3. Even so, the overall Democratic turnout was almost twice the Republican turnout. And this is in a state where the Democratic and Republican presidential candidates were separated by less than 1 percentage point in both 2000 and 2004 (in the general election). So it's clear that there is much more enthusiasm this year for the Democratic candidates than for the Republican candidates.

  4. Do these numbers also count Iowans who *didn't* participate in the caucus?